david shor’s analysis of the 2024 election

In Vox, Eric Levitz interviews David Shor about his analysis of a massive sample of election data from last November. His conclusions differ from those you’ve probably read in the last few months, based as they were on exit-poll data, He says it was not a problem of low turnout. Rather, the most politically engaged people continued to vote Democratic, but the least engaged, and those who got their news from TikTok, turned against our candidates. These include the youngest voters, especially young men. Read the article here (paywall). Ezra Klein also interviewed Shor and helpfully reproduces his presentation slides in this NYT article (paywall).